Wednesday, November 26, 2008

JP clears 5 Trillion USD in 1 day

http://ecommerce-journal.com/news/11499_j_p_morgan_cleared_more_than_5_05_trillion_usd_in_a_single_day J.P. Morgan cleared more than $5.05 trillion USD in a single day

http://ecommerce-journal.com/news/11528_hsbc_will_construct_300_million_data_centre_in_york HSBC will construct £300 million data centre in York

HSBC has made a formal planning application for the construction of a new £300 million data centre in York, UK.

If approved, the 325,000sqft development is expected to take two years to build and generate up to 2000 construction and fit out jobs. This is expected to generate £2 million additional income in goods and services for the local economy, says HSBC.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601101&sid=afsERvdzsvp0&refer=japan Nov. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Japan's Ashiya city has been home to the nation's industrial titans since samurai ruled the land more than a century ago. Now it's a feeding ground for hedge funds tapping the wealth of new multi-millionaires like Kunihisa Sagami.

Tuesday, November 25, 2008

England goes bankrupt, revolt in Iceland

There is now a palpable fear that global investors may start to shun British debt as the budget deficit rockets to £118bn - 8 per cent of GDP - or charge a much higher price to cover default risk.

The cost of insuring against the bankruptcy of the British state has broken out - upwards - over the last month. Yes, credit default swaps (CDS) are dodgy instruments, but they are the best stress barometer that we have. http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/ambrose_evans-pritchard/blog/2008/11/24/is_britain_going_bankrupt

RIOTS IN ICELAND: CITIZENS REVOLT AGAINST FINANCIAL CRISIS, CORRUPT MINISTERS...

VIDEO...

UK TOP INCOME TAX RATES COULD HIT 61%...

FED PUMPS $800B MORE...

It pains me deeply to announce that, despite the massive government rescue, yesterday's collapse of Citigroup could ultimately lead to a shutdown of the global banking system.

For many years, I hoped this would never happen, and I thought we might be able to avoid it.

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article7487.html

Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Chinese Renege on $1 Billion of Scrap Steel Deals, Group Says

Chinese Renege on $1 Billion of Scrap Steel Deals, Group Says


 

Chinese scrap-metal buyers have reneged on about $1 billion in contracts from U.S. merchants as the market for the steelmaking raw material collapses, the Institute of Scrap Recycling Industries said today.


 

Steelmakers, foundries and traders, ranging in size from "small to very large'' and some with partial state ownership, have cancelled contracts, refused delivery of shipments or demanded lower prices, said Robin Weiner, president of the Washington-based scrap merchants' trade group.


 

"Based on conversations I've had with members throughout the country, we're talking about hundreds of millions of dollars and could be over a billion dollars,'' Weiner said in a telephone interview. The number in past years has been "insignificant.'' Weiner is lobbying the U.S.

government to help stop defaults on contracts between the institute's members and clients in the second-largest market for U.S. scrap steel after Turkey. Scrap merchants worldwide face plummeting prices after steelmakers slashed output amid a worsening global economic recession.

The price of steel scrap No. 1 heavy melting, shipped from the U.S. East Coast, has slumped by 61 percent in the past two months and traded at $120 a metric ton on Nov. 13, according to Metal Bulletin. U.S. sales of scrap to 152 countries last year totalled $22 billion, making it the second-largest commodity export by value, according to the institute.


 

Contracts with steelmakers and brokers also have been broken in Europe, Canada, Vietnam and South Korea, Weiner said. Delinquencies in China have been most prevalent and extend beyond steel to other scrap markets like copper, fibres and plastics, she said. Once demand steadies, U.S.

buyers may seek stricter trade terms with their Chinese counterparts, including advance payments and letters of credit, said Bob Garino, the institute's director of commodities. Some Chinese firms have declined to receive goods unless prices are lowered, and others have been told that customs officials will object to shipments' quality unless they agree to charge less, Weiner said. (Bloomberg)

Sunday, November 16, 2008

The Canary is Dead: Something is wrong in venture capital.

http://www.slideshare.net/guest1c3ad/thefunded-canarie-presentation/v1 Click to see presentation

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/17/business/17views_ready.html Maybe it was the tombstone that did it. Even as Wall Street burned, Silicon Valley seemed strangely sanguine. Then a PowerPoint presentation from Sequoia Capital prophesying Armageddon — featuring an "R.I.P. Good Times" headstone — made the rounds. A month later, venture capital firms are slashing investments and counseling portfolio companies to cut jobs. Sequoia's warning may reflect the technology industry's woes, but it's more notable for what it says about venture capital.

Like Wall Street banks, hedge funds and private equity, the venture capital industry got too fat. Firms currently manage $260 billion, according to the National Venture Capital Association, 14 percent more than during the bubble, and the industry now raises more money than it creates. A shakeout was inevitable. It's just odd that it took Sequoia's PowerPoint to get it under way.

Thursday, November 13, 2008

Wal Mart affected by USD volatility

Chief Financial Officer Tom Schoewe said the "rapid changes" in exchange rates in the past few weeks are expected to hurt fourth-quarter results by about 6 cents per share.

"In U.S. dollar terms, strong operating performance in international may be overshadowed by these currency fluctuations," he said in a statement.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/WalMarts-3Q-profit-rises-10-apf-13555854.html

Wednesday, November 12, 2008

Munitions companies rally as Obama spurs gun frenzy

VIENNA, Va., Nov 10, 2008 /PRNewswire-FirstCall via COMTEX/ -- The Allied Defense Group, Inc. (ADG:

allied defense group inc com ADG 6.28, -0.48, -7.1%) , a diversified international defense and security firm which: develops and produces conventional medium caliber ammunition marketed to defense departments worldwide; and designs, produces and markets sophisticated electronic security systems principally for North American markets, announces its third quarter 2008 financial results. http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/The-Allied-Defense-Group-Announces/story.aspx?guid=%7BC9A90C3E-E68F-4FEB-8571-48AFD53F0EFB%7D


 

http://www.cnn.com/2008/CRIME/11/11/obama.gun.sales/ The owner of a gun shop in the Washington suburb of Manassas, Virginia, Conatser said sales have doubled or tripled since this time last year.

On Saturday, he said, he did as much business as he would normally do in a week.

"I have been in business for 12 years, and I was here for Y2K, September 11, Katrina," Conatser said, as a steady stream of customers browsed what remained of his stock. "And all of those were big events, and we did notice a spike in business, but nothing on the order of what we are seeing right now."

Monday, November 10, 2008

Consumer bubble collapsing

http://www.prudentbear.com/index.php?view=article&id=10098%3AThe+Great+Consumer+Crash+of+2009&tmpl=component&print=1&page=&option=com_content
"It is easy to ignore the storm if you look at the opposite horizon.  When the storm reaches your location there can be no more ignorance."

http://market-ticker.denninger.net/archives/618-Congress-What-Bernanke-and-Hank-Arent-Telling-You.html Congress: Think.

Ben and Hank have both told you that the critical issue for the economy is for "lending to resume", stating that it has dramatically contracted.

Monday, November 3, 2008

The End of Economic Prosperity

Leaders in Europe fear the financial crisis will tip the continent into serious recession. And cause a currency meltdown in the East. Across former Soviet bloc nations. Testing currency pegs "on the fringes of Europe's monetary union in a traumatic upheaval" reminiscent of the 1992 Exchange Rate Mechanism collapse. Bank of New York strategist Neil Mellor called it "the biggest currency crisis the world has ever seen."     http://marketoracle.co.uk/Article7089.html

a depression much worse than the Great Depression, a depression that would likely be remembered in history as "The Second Great Depression" or The Greater Depression , as Doug Casey has called it so aptly. Here is why I believe that this is the case....    http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article7099.html

Sunday, November 2, 2008

Trojan virus steals banking info

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/7701227.stm Trojan virus steals banking info

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/10/31/AR2008103103727_pf.html The clients put money in Swiss bank accounts, where it was supposed to stay secret. But now those depositors fear the U.S. Internal Revenue Service and the Justice Department will gain access to their bank records, Robbins said.

Please explain why the Government Fund is frozen. Aren't U.S. Treasuries trading?

U.S. Treasuries are liquid, but the Government Fund invests primarily in securities backed by

the U.S. Government, such as Fannie Maes, Freddie Macs, and Ginnie Maes. These securities

are not likely to default, they are just illiquid. http://www.reservefund.com/pdfs/Important%20Notice_Primary_Govt_FINAL_2008_1002.pdf

Friday, October 31, 2008

Trader error causes crazy swings in EUR/HUF - dealer

http://www.portfolio.hu/en/cikkek.tdp?cCheck=1&k=3&i=16174
While international news were mixed after the closing of Hungarian money markets, the forint is apparently mostly affected by a 50-bp Fed rate cut and similar moves by Far Eastern central banks (Hong Kong, Taiwan, China). After market opening on Thursday, the HUF was relatively steady versus the euro and eased some to around 255 from 253 in the morning session. After that the HUF started to act like a donkey on drugs, kicking and running in all directions.


The larges swings observed around 11:14 local time were the consequence of a trader error. A major foreign investment bank put in a bid on EUR/HUF at around 264 instead of 254 and this has caused the abrupt flip-out, a Budapest-based currency dealer told Portfolio.hu.

The easing of the Hungarian currency may also be linked to rumours about an imminent rate cut in Poland that pushed PLN to 3.58 from 3.45 against the euro since market opening (3.5% PLN depreciation intraday), which dragged the forint along, he added.

The forint hit its all-time low versus the single European currency at 286 last Thursday and firmed by more than 13% since then.

Japan announces stimulus package

http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/10/30/business/30japan.php
HONG KONG: Japan announced a new stimulus package on Thursday that includes $51 billion to help households and businesses, the boldest of several measures that officials took to try to stanch the fallout from the global credit crisis, and prompting shares throughout the region to surge.

Hong Kong and Taiwan cut interest rates, after a cut of half a percentage point by interest rates by the Federal Reserve a day earlier.

And South Korea established a $30 billion currency swap line with the Federal Reserve, a measure expected to ease pressure on local banks needing to refinance foreign debt. President Lee Myung-bak of South Korea also said his government would bring forward budget spending and consider beefing up construction spending.

"A harsh storm seen only once in 100 years is raging," Japanese Prime Minister Taro Aso told a news conference as he introduced the second stimulus package in about two months. "Under such circumstances, I am certain that what is most important is to remove uncertainties from the lives of people."

Thursday, October 30, 2008

RETAIL OFF-EXCHANGE FOREX EXAMINATION

Overview of Series 34 Exam Questions

Series 34 – Retail Off-Exchange Forex Examination

The Series 34 exam is broken up into five main parts: definitions and terminology, forex trading calculations, risks associated with forex trading, forex market concepts and theories, and forex regulatory requirements.  Within these five main parts the exam is expected to cover many of the sub-parts listed below.  Please note that the following items are general and are not representative of actual test questions and do not necessarily represent the relative weighting of each of the categories.

Please check back with us soon for a Series 34 Study guide and Series 34 Flashcards.

Definitions and Terminology
•    American terms, European terms
•    Base currency, quote currency, terms currency, secondary currency
•    Bid/ask spread
•    Collateral, security deposit, margin
•    Counterparty, dealer: Futures Commission Merchant,  Retail Foreign Exchange Dealer, other regulated entities listed in the Commodity Exchange Act
•    Cross rates
•    Currency crosses
•    Currency pairs
•    Direct quotes, indirect quotes
•    Exchange rate
•    Exotic options: barrier, double barrier, knock in, knock  out, compound options
•    Forward points
•    Forward rate, bid forward rate
•    Interest rate differential
•    Interest rate parity
•    Mark-ups, mark-downs
•    PIPs
•    Rollovers
•    Spot rate, spot price
•    Tom-next and spot-next
•    Trade date and settlement date
•    Swaps

Forex Trading Calculations
•    Cross rate transactions
•    Effects of leverage calculations
•    Netting of positions
•    Open trade variation
•    Profi t & loss calculations
•    Pip values, price after pips
•    Option and exotic option profit & loss calculations
•    Return on collateral, security deposit, margin
•    Transaction costs

Risks Associated with Forex Trading
•    Country or sovereign risk
•    Credit risk
•    Exchange rate risk
•    Interest rate risk
•    Liquidity risk
•    Market risk
•    Operational risk
•    Settlement risk, Herstaat risk

Forex Market – Concepts, Theories, Economic Factors and Indicators, Participants
•    Balance of payments
•    Balance of trade
•    Bank for International Settlements (BIS)
•    Capital account and current account
•    Central bank activities, intervention, sterilized intervention, interference
•    Clearing House Interbank Payment  System (CHIPS)
•    Discount rate
•    Economic indicators: employment, consumer spending, income, industrial  and inflation indicators
•    Elasticity of exchange rates
•    Exchange rate intervention
•    Exchange rate volatility
•    Federal Reserve Board, Fedwire
•    Fiscal policy
•    Fisher effect
•    Foreign investment indicators
•    Gross national product, gross  domestic product
•    Inflation
•    Interbank funds transfer and  settlement systems
•    International Fisher effect
•    International Monetary Fund
•    Portfolio balance
•    Role of central banks
•    Theory of elasticities
•    Theory of purchasing power parity
•    World Trade Organization

Forex Regulatory Requirements
•    CFTC jurisdiction and jurisdictional limitations
•    Conflicts of interest
•    Disclosures to customers
•    Jurisdictional & regulatory framework
•    Know your customer
•    NFA Interpretive Notice Regarding Forex  Transactions
•    NFA Interpretive Notice      Compliance Rule 2-36(e): Supervision of the Use of Electronic Trading Systems
•    NFA Notice to Members: Supervision of Forex Promotional Materials
•    NFA membership and associate membership requirements
•    Promotional material & solicitation
•    Registration requirements
•    Reports to customers, confirmations, monthly  summaries
•    Security deposit rules
•    Security of customer funds, no segregation

http://www.nfa.futures.org/registration/SO-Series34.pdf