No 'Performance Advantage'
The need for foreign investors may only increase in the final four months of 2009.
After purchases by the Fed, the net supply of long-term U.S. government and agency debt has been about $50 billion a month this year, Dean Maki, head of U.S. economics research at Barclays Capital in New York, wrote in a Sept. 4 report. As the Fed slows its so-called quantitative easing program, net supply may reach $200 billion by year-end, he wrote.
"In the broadest sense, the dollar tends to prosper when a unique U.S. asset attracts foreign buyers," such as high real yields in the early 1980s and the Internet boom in early 2000s, Steven Englander, the chief currency strategist at Barclays, wrote in a research note on Aug. 27. "There is no asset class in which U.S. assets have a clear performance advantage"
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