Thursday, September 6, 2012

EUR/CHF breaks away from 1.20 peg

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - EUR/CHF is currently moving higher printing fresh 3-month highs at 1.2058, last at 1.2054, a +0.36% higher from previous Asia-Pacific open yesterday, on the back of mounting rumors of SNB rising the peg to 1.22 in the first place.

According to Commerzbank's strategist Peter Kinsella , as reported by Clare Connaghan for DowJones: "ECB bond purchasing basically removes tail risk of a euro-zone breakup," the analyst says, as reflection of previous Franc strength based on fears of a euro area breakup. Rising the peg could bring many positive effects for Switzerland, but according to Citi, it could also bring extra risks as the foreign currency reserves might reach as high as 100% of its GDP, making the country very vulnerable to Euro exposure in case can't be able to sustain the peg, reported Ira Iosebashvili for DowJones.

Immediate resistance to the upside for EUR/CHF comes at recent session and 3-month highs at 1.2058, followed by March 27 highs at 1.2069, and May 24 highs at 1.2075. For the downside, nearest term support shows at yesterday's highs 1.2046, followed by Feb 27 lows/June 29 highs at 1.2038, and Aug 02 highs at 1.2029.

http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?storyid=ebaa98d8-19b6-43dd-93dc-e6df7b16733f

http://seekingalpha.com/article/816681-is-the-snb-going-to-unpeg-the-eur-chf