Wednesday, December 26, 2012

EES: Euro Overvalued at current levels


Europe's demand for steel fell 8% in the last year, according to the world's largest steelmaker by volume.
Steelmaker ArcelorMittal (MTon Friday took a $4.3 billion write-down on the value of its flailing European division and said it sees little prospect for an improvement in the region's sluggish economy any time soon.
Luxembourg-based ArcelorMittal, the world's biggest steelmaker by volume, said the goodwill-impairment charge will be included in its fourth-quarter earnings. The news resulted in a downgrade by Fitch Ratings, the third by a ratings firm since August.
The significance of this information is that it shows that real demand for steel in the 'real' economy (manufacturing, shipping, etc.) is down, whereas in the U.S. it's up. For Europe, this is a bad economic sign. Similar to the Baltic Dry Index, a decline in steel indicates a decline in the real economy.


http://seekingalpha.com/article/1081561-euro-overvalued-at-current-levels-and-due-for-a-sell-off