Everything looked so good in August. Goldman's
global leading indicator (GLI) "swirlogram" had recovered quickly from a
'growth scare' in Q1 and was holding firmly in "expansion" territory.
Then reality hit as new-orders-less-inventories worsened, various
manufacturing surveys rolled over, industrial metals gave up gains, and
Korean exports provided no help. Among the few factors holding up the
index from already plunging levels was the Baltic Dry Index (which has
collapsed now in the last few days) and Consumer Confidence (which
appears to also be rolling over). September's plunge into "slowdown" for the GLI is the biggest drop in 8 months.
[7]
Chart: Goldman Sachs
http://www.zerohedge.com/print/479649
[7]
Chart: Goldman Sachs
http://www.zerohedge.com/print/479649