Friday, March 25, 2011

The story behind JPY volatility


Throughout much of the day Wednesday, the yen was on the rise but failed to cross the 80 level. Just before 5 p.m., however, the Japanese currency suddenly broke through. At first it bounced off its all-time high of 79.75, but then a wave of yen buying, predominantly against the U.S. dollar but also against the Australian dollar, swept through the markets.

Integral Development, which operates electronic trading networks, saw a flood of yen buying out of Japan. Volumes were eight times normal, said Harpal Sandhu, president of Integral. Some 90% of the trades were for less than $100,000. Typically at that time of day, 40% of the trades are from individual investors, Mr. Sandhu said.
"We think there were Japanese retail traders who were placing orders prior to going to work," Mr. Sandhu says.
Many of the trades appeared to have been stop-loss orders left in the market which would automatically buy yen as the currency hit certain levels. Others were unwinding so-called carry trades, which required them to buy yen and sell other currencies.
Conditions quickly deteriorated. Banks widened the gap between the prices where yen could be bought or sold to 50 or 100 so-called pips—tiny increments of currency prices. In normal trading, spreads are around 0.8 to one pip.

At Barclays Capital, the bank's electronic trading system went offline for its routine 15-minute reset at 5 p.m. Amid the heavy trading, the bank's risk management systems delayed the restart until 5:29 p.m.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704261504576205564007066134.html

Last minute USD short covering

* 25 Mar 11: 16:55(LDN) - FX NOW! EUR/USD, USD/JPY Flows - Last minute USD short covering made difficult by Plosser

USD's gradual rate of appreciation into Friday's close, which was fuelled most by dealers squaring positions in advance of the weekend, has accelerated in reaction to another Fed officials comments. Phil Fed's Plosser has made the simple observation that the Fed will need to tighten policy "soon". EUR/USD moved down through the 1.4100 level, where the sovereigns that were noted earlier have apparently gone home for the day/week. USD/JPY jumped up to highs of 81.45-50 and if it goes further the buyers will probably be making a number of exporters very happy. While the moves are dramatic, on the day, the extent of the moves are due mostly to the limited liquidity that is always the case in late Friday trading. Watch for technical support on EUR/USD at 1.4052 and resistance on USD/JPY up at 82.03. M.B.

Monday, March 21, 2011

Comment Closer EA released - tool for manual traders

The comment closer EA is an automated Expert Advisor that monitors your MT4 account for manual trades placed with comments. This is a tool for manual traders who want an automated means of closing orders entered manually.
To use the EA, when a manual order is entered, enter a value in the comment field such as “889”. Then, load Comment Closer onto any chart, and enter the corresponding comment value into the “Comment to Close” parameter field. Be sure the EA is switched on - and it will close orders with comments “889” based on criteria specified in later parameters (Close based on stop loss or profit target, a percentage of the trade, or a percentage of the account)

For EESFX Subscribers only


Thursday, March 17, 2011

Radiation enters US through Airports and Plume


http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/17/science/17plume.html  United Nations forecast of the possible movement of the radioactive plume coming from crippled Japanese reactors shows it churning across the Pacific, and touching the Aleutian Islands on Thursday before hitting Southern California late Friday.


Japan Worst Case Scenarios explained

In the absence of a clear picture from the Japanese government of what is happening at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant, a number of experts have stepped in to offer their take on what is currently unfolding and the worst-case scenarios that might occur. Tennessee State University's Dr. Michael Allen spent his early career at Sandia National Labs performing simulations of the world's worst nuclear-reactor accidents, including what happens when nuclear fuel is no longer submerged in water. (Yesterday, U.S. authorities in Japan said the pools of water in Unit 4 containing spent fuel rods, which are different from the reactor cores, had boiled dry.) Allen told the Knoxville News Sentinel that he's unsure whether a full-scale meltdown is inevitable, but he explained how it might occur.

Friday, March 11, 2011

Record Earthquake rocks Japan


A massive 8.9-magnitude earthquake rocked northeast Japan late on Friday afternoon, setting a nuclear plant ablaze and unleashing a 10-metre tsunami that tossed ships inland and left at least 88 people dead.