Chief Financial Officer Tom Schoewe said the "rapid changes" in exchange rates in the past few weeks are expected to hurt fourth-quarter results by about 6 cents per share.
"In U.S. dollar terms, strong operating performance in international may be overshadowed by these currency fluctuations," he said in a statement.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/WalMarts-3Q-profit-rises-10-apf-13555854.html
VIENNA, Va., Nov 10, 2008 /PRNewswire-FirstCall via COMTEX/ -- The Allied Defense Group, Inc. (ADG:
allied defense group inc com ADG 6.28, -0.48, -7.1%) , a diversified international defense and security firm which: develops and produces conventional medium caliber ammunition marketed to defense departments worldwide; and designs, produces and markets sophisticated electronic security systems principally for North American markets, announces its third quarter 2008 financial results. http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/The-Allied-Defense-Group-Announces/story.aspx?guid=%7BC9A90C3E-E68F-4FEB-8571-48AFD53F0EFB%7D
http://www.cnn.com/2008/CRIME/11/11/obama.gun.sales/ The owner of a gun shop in the Washington suburb of Manassas, Virginia, Conatser said sales have doubled or tripled since this time last year.
On Saturday, he said, he did as much business as he would normally do in a week.
"I have been in business for 12 years, and I was here for Y2K, September 11, Katrina," Conatser said, as a steady stream of customers browsed what remained of his stock. "And all of those were big events, and we did notice a spike in business, but nothing on the order of what we are seeing right now."
http://www.prudentbear.com/index.php?view=article&id=10098%3AThe+Great+Consumer+Crash+of+2009&tmpl=component&print=1&page=&option=com_content
"It is easy to ignore the storm if you look at the opposite horizon. When the storm reaches your location there can be no more ignorance."
http://market-ticker.denninger.net/archives/618-Congress-What-Bernanke-and-Hank-Arent-Telling-You.html Congress: Think.
Ben and Hank have both told you that the critical issue for the economy is for "lending to resume", stating that it has dramatically contracted.
Buffett's Berkshire Profits Down 77%
FDIC Seizes More Failed Big Banks
GM Running On Empty - Broke In 2009?
Banks Ease Credit For Selves, Not You
Main St Sucked Into GMAC Junk Bonds
Financial Meltdown Worse To Come
Dire State Of Economy Shown In BoE Shock Mov
UK Bank Chiefs Called Over Rate Cut Failure
UK Banks ORDERED To Pass On Rate Cut
Across Economy, News Just Gets Worse
How To Survive Coming US Dollar Collapse
JP Morgan Market Manipulation Handiwork
Leaders in Europe fear the financial crisis will tip the continent into serious recession. And cause a currency meltdown in the East. Across former Soviet bloc nations. Testing currency pegs "on the fringes of Europe's monetary union in a traumatic upheaval" reminiscent of the 1992 Exchange Rate Mechanism collapse. Bank of New York strategist Neil Mellor called it "the biggest currency crisis the world has ever seen." http://marketoracle.co.uk/Article7089.html
a depression much worse than the Great Depression, a depression that would likely be remembered in history as "The Second Great Depression" or The Greater Depression , as Doug Casey has called it so aptly. Here is why I believe that this is the case.... http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article7099.html
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/7701227.stm Trojan virus steals banking info
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/10/31/AR2008103103727_pf.html The clients put money in Swiss bank accounts, where it was supposed to stay secret. But now those depositors fear the U.S. Internal Revenue Service and the Justice Department will gain access to their bank records, Robbins said.
Please explain why the Government Fund is frozen. Aren't U.S. Treasuries trading?
U.S. Treasuries are liquid, but the Government Fund invests primarily in securities backed by
the U.S. Government, such as Fannie Maes, Freddie Macs, and Ginnie Maes. These securities
are not likely to default, they are just illiquid. http://www.reservefund.com/pdfs/Important%20Notice_Primary_Govt_FINAL_2008_1002.pdf
http://www.portfolio.hu/en/cikkek.tdp?cCheck=1&k=3&i=16174
While international news were mixed after the closing of Hungarian money markets, the forint is apparently mostly affected by a 50-bp Fed rate cut and similar moves by Far Eastern central banks (Hong Kong, Taiwan, China). After market opening on Thursday, the HUF was relatively steady versus the euro and eased some to around 255 from 253 in the morning session. After that the HUF started to act like a donkey on drugs, kicking and running in all directions.
The larges swings observed around 11:14 local time were the consequence of a trader error. A major foreign investment bank put in a bid on EUR/HUF at around 264 instead of 254 and this has caused the abrupt flip-out, a Budapest-based currency dealer told Portfolio.hu.
The easing of the Hungarian currency may also be linked to rumours about an imminent rate cut in Poland that pushed PLN to 3.58 from 3.45 against the euro since market opening (3.5% PLN depreciation intraday), which dragged the forint along, he added.
The forint hit its all-time low versus the single European currency at 286 last Thursday and firmed by more than 13% since then.
http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/10/30/business/30japan.php
HONG KONG: Japan announced a new stimulus package on Thursday that includes $51 billion to help households and businesses, the boldest of several measures that officials took to try to stanch the fallout from the global credit crisis, and prompting shares throughout the region to surge.
Hong Kong and Taiwan cut interest rates, after a cut of half a percentage point by interest rates by the Federal Reserve a day earlier.
And South Korea established a $30 billion currency swap line with the Federal Reserve, a measure expected to ease pressure on local banks needing to refinance foreign debt. President Lee Myung-bak of South Korea also said his government would bring forward budget spending and consider beefing up construction spending.
"A harsh storm seen only once in 100 years is raging," Japanese Prime Minister Taro Aso told a news conference as he introduced the second stimulus package in about two months. "Under such circumstances, I am certain that what is most important is to remove uncertainties from the lives of people."
Overview of Series 34 Exam Questions
Series 34 – Retail Off-Exchange Forex Examination
The Series 34 exam is broken up into five main parts: definitions and terminology, forex trading calculations, risks associated with forex trading, forex market concepts and theories, and forex regulatory requirements. Within these five main parts the exam is expected to cover many of the sub-parts listed below. Please note that the following items are general and are not representative of actual test questions and do not necessarily represent the relative weighting of each of the categories.
Please check back with us soon for a Series 34 Study guide and Series 34 Flashcards.
Definitions and Terminology
• American terms, European terms
• Base currency, quote currency, terms currency, secondary currency
• Bid/ask spread
• Collateral, security deposit, margin
• Counterparty, dealer: Futures Commission Merchant, Retail Foreign Exchange Dealer, other regulated entities listed in the Commodity Exchange Act
• Cross rates
• Currency crosses
• Currency pairs
• Direct quotes, indirect quotes
• Exchange rate
• Exotic options: barrier, double barrier, knock in, knock out, compound options
• Forward points
• Forward rate, bid forward rate
• Interest rate differential
• Interest rate parity
• Mark-ups, mark-downs
• PIPs
• Rollovers
• Spot rate, spot price
• Tom-next and spot-next
• Trade date and settlement date
• Swaps
Forex Trading Calculations
• Cross rate transactions
• Effects of leverage calculations
• Netting of positions
• Open trade variation
• Profi t & loss calculations
• Pip values, price after pips
• Option and exotic option profit & loss calculations
• Return on collateral, security deposit, margin
• Transaction costs
Risks Associated with Forex Trading
• Country or sovereign risk
• Credit risk
• Exchange rate risk
• Interest rate risk
• Liquidity risk
• Market risk
• Operational risk
• Settlement risk, Herstaat risk
Forex Market – Concepts, Theories, Economic Factors and Indicators, Participants
• Balance of payments
• Balance of trade
• Bank for International Settlements (BIS)
• Capital account and current account
• Central bank activities, intervention, sterilized intervention, interference
• Clearing House Interbank Payment System (CHIPS)
• Discount rate
• Economic indicators: employment, consumer spending, income, industrial and inflation indicators
• Elasticity of exchange rates
• Exchange rate intervention
• Exchange rate volatility
• Federal Reserve Board, Fedwire
• Fiscal policy
• Fisher effect
• Foreign investment indicators
• Gross national product, gross domestic product
• Inflation
• Interbank funds transfer and settlement systems
• International Fisher effect
• International Monetary Fund
• Portfolio balance
• Role of central banks
• Theory of elasticities
• Theory of purchasing power parity
• World Trade Organization
Forex Regulatory Requirements
• CFTC jurisdiction and jurisdictional limitations
• Conflicts of interest
• Disclosures to customers
• Jurisdictional & regulatory framework
• Know your customer
• NFA Interpretive Notice Regarding Forex Transactions
• NFA Interpretive Notice Compliance Rule 2-36(e): Supervision of the Use of Electronic Trading Systems
• NFA Notice to Members: Supervision of Forex Promotional Materials
• NFA membership and associate membership requirements
• Promotional material & solicitation
• Registration requirements
• Reports to customers, confirmations, monthly summaries
• Security deposit rules
• Security of customer funds, no segregation
http://blogs.wsj.com/deals/2008/05/08/its-dubai-mumbai-or-good-bye/ Investment banks following the money trail are shifting some top earners to Dubai to help tap the booming oil-rich Persian Gulf economies and the estimated $1.5 trillion held by sovereign wealth funds there.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/c47190fe-a452-11dd-8104-000077b07658.html?nclick_check=1 Thailand on Monday said it planned to barter rice for oil with Iran in the clearest example to date of how the triple financial, fuel and food crisis is reshaping global trade as countries struggle with high commodity prices and a lack of credit.
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/Slice_of_forex_reserves_for_liquidity-hit_banks/articleshow/3644203.cms
Last week, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) governor said that the monetary policy authority would take conventional and unconventional measures to ensure financial as well as price stability and growth.
The committee, appointed by the finance minister to assess the liquidity situation, has said that a portion of India's forex reserves, aggregating $273 billion, could be used to invest in securities such as bonds issued by foreign offices of Indian banks, said a person familiar with the issue.
Stephen Jen, currency chief at Morgan Stanley, says the emerging market crash is a vastly underestimated risk. It threatens to become "the second epicentre of the global financial crisis", this time unfolding in Europe rather than America.
Austria's bank exposure to emerging markets is equal to 85pc of GDP – with a heavy concentration in Hungary, Ukraine, and Serbia – all now queuing up (with Belarus) for rescue packages from the International Monetary Fund.
Exposure is 50pc of GDP for Switzerland, 25pc for Sweden, 24pc for the UK, and 23pc for Spain. The US figure is just 4pc. America is the staid old lady in this drama.
http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/10/currency-crisis-is-gathering-storm.html
It might get the people who run our companies and our regulatory agencies into the business of telling the truth.... http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/26/business/26gret.html?_r=1&oref=slogin&ref=business&pagewanted=print
In the days leading up to the conference, volunteers in lederhosen draped the village with hundreds of white and blue banners that declared the 38-year-old conclave's purpose: ``Committed to Improving the State of the World.''
WEF organizers often pulled stunts to hoodwink delegates who preferred partying and meeting privately with clients over attending forum sessions.
In the ``Why Do Brains Sleep?'' meeting in 2007, a cadre of eminent psychologists and psychiatrists explored whether financial leaders got enough rest and ``what that tells us about the quality of their decision-making.''
To spur delegates into addressing financial-market alienation, a session in 2004 was held to discuss whether extraterrestrials had taken control of Wall Street: ``Have Extraterrestrials Made Contact With Government Leaders?'' http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&sid=a9wVqOPk.T_4&refer=home
The front-page commentary in the overseas edition of the People's Daily said that Asian and European countries should banish the U.S. dollar from their direct trade relations for a start, relying only on their own currencies.
A meeting between Asian and European leaders, starting on Friday in Beijing, presented the perfect opportunity to begin building a new international financial order, the newspaper said.
The People's Daily is the official newspaper of China's ruling Communist Party. The Chinese-language overseas edition is a small circulation offshoot of the main paper.
Its pronouncements do not necessarily directly voice leadership views. But the commentary, as well as recent comments, amount to a growing chorus of Chinese disdain for Washington's economic policies and global financial dominance in the wake of the credit crisis.
"The grim reality has led people, amidst the panic, to realise that the United States has used the U.S. dollar's hegemony to plunder the world's wealth," said the commentator, Shi Jianxun, a professor at Shanghai's Tongji University.
http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/10/china-launches-salvo-against-dollar.html
http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/03/chinese-avoiding-dollar-as-invoicing.html Rising numbers of Chinese exporters are shunning the US dollar or devising ways to offset the impact of the falling currency as they confront rising labour and raw material costs at home.
According to Alibaba.com, the online company that matches Chinese suppliers with international buyers, the vast majority of their almost 700,000 Chinese suppliers no longer use dollars to settle non-US transactions in order to minimise foreign exchange risk.
"They are moving to euros, pounds, Australian dollars or even quoting prices in renminbi," David Wei, chief executive, told the Financial Times. Moreover, he added, prices quoted in dollars were now often valid for just seven days compared with the 30-60 days common previously.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=apjqJKKQvfDc&refer=home Oct. 19 (Bloomberg) -- European Central Bank council member Ewald Nowotny said a ``tri-polar'' global currency system is developing between Asia, Europe and the U.S. and that he's skeptical the U.S. dollar's centrality can be revived.
Greenspan Concedes to `Flaw' in His Market Ideology (Update2)
By Scott Lanman and Steve Matthews
Oct. 23 (Bloomberg) -- Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said a ``once-in-a-century credit tsunami'' has engulfed financial markets and conceded that his free-market ideology shunning regulation was flawed.
``Yes, I found a flaw,'' Greenspan said in response to grilling from the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform. ``That is precisely the reason I was shocked because I'd been going for 40 years or more with very considerable evidence that it was working exceptionally well.''
Greenspan said he was ``partially'' wrong in opposing regulation of derivatives and acknowledged that financial institutions didn't protect shareholders and investments as well as he expected.
``We cannot expect perfection in any area where forecasting is required,'' he said. ``We have to do our best but not expect infallibility or omniscience.''
Part of the problem was that the Fed's ability to forecast the economy's trajectory is an inexact science, he said.
``If we are right 60 percent of the time in forecasting, we are doing exceptionally well; that means we are wrong 40 percent of the time,'' Greenspan said. ``Forecasting never gets to the point where it is 100 percent accurate.''
Self-Policing
The admission that free markets have their faults was a shift for the former Fed chairman who declared in a May 2005 speech that ``private regulation generally has proved far better at constraining excessive risk-taking than has government regulation.''
Today Committee Chairman Henry Waxman, a California Democrat, said Greenspan had ``the authority to prevent irresponsible lending practices that led to the subprime mortgage crisis.''
``You were advised to do so by many others,'' he told Greenspan. ``And now our whole economy is paying the price.''
Waxman and other lawmakers repeatedly interrupted Greenspan as he answered their questions, in contrast to deference to his testimony while he was Fed chairman.
Firms that bundle loans into securities for sale should be required to keep part of those securities, Greenspan said in prepared testimony. Other rules should address fraud and settlement of trades, he said.
Resistant to Regulation
Greenspan opposed increasing financial supervision as Fed chairman from August 1987 to January 2006. Policy makers are now struggling to contain a financial crisis marked by record foreclosures, falling asset prices and almost $660 billion in writedowns and losses tied to U.S. subprime mortgages.
Today, the former Fed chairman asked: ``What went wrong with global economic policies that had worked so effectively for nearly four decades?''
Greenspan reiterated his ``shocked disbelief'' that financial companies failed to execute sufficient ``surveillance'' on their trading counterparties to prevent surging losses. The ``breakdown'' was clearest in the market where securities firms packaged home mortgages into debt sold on to other investors, he said.
``As much as I would prefer it otherwise, in this financial environment I see no choice but to require that all securitizers retain a meaningful part of the securities they issue,'' Greenspan said. That would give the companies an incentive to ensure the assets are properly priced for their risk, advocates say.
Subprime Lending
Greenspan said the Fed didn't know the size of the subprime mortgage market until late 2005.
Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Christopher Cox and former Treasury Secretary John Snow also appeared at the House committee hearing.
Snow said the economy is headed down a ``bad, bad path'' and he endorsed consideration of more fiscal stimulus. For the longer term, Snow said the global financial system should be reorganized by focusing on increasing transparency of ``excessive'' leverage to prevent institutions from creating too much risk.
The U.S. needs ``one strong national regulator'' to oversee firms and fix what Snow called ``a fragmented approach'' to regulation. ``Steps to restore transparency and responsibility in the marketplace will go a long way towards restoring stability and confidence,'' he said.
Addressing the trio that oversaw the U.S. financial markets as the housing bubble developed, Representative John Yarmuth, a Democrat from Kentucky, characterized them as ``three Bill Buckners,'' referring to the Boston Red Sox first baseman whose fielding error some fans blame for the team's loss in the 1986 World Series.
To contact the reporter on this story: Scott Lanman in Washington at slanman@bloomberg.net; Steve Matthews in Atlanta at smatthews@bloomberg.net.
Last Updated: October 23, 2008 14:14 EDT