Wednesday, June 27, 2012

Germany: No to Eurobonds, Yes to Financial Transaction Tax


Angela Merkel has firmly rejected the use of eurobonds ahead of a crucial summit in Brussels this week, ruling out jointly guaranteed eurozone debt for "as long as I live".




Ms Merkel told the German Parliament on Wednesday ahead of a European Union summit there is no "magic formula" that will make the crisis immediately go away.
She insists that Europe must tackle its problems at the roots - which she says are a lack of competitiveness and high debts - in a step-by-step process. Ms Merkel says any other approach is condemned to failure. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financialcrisis/9359138/Angela-Merkel-No-quick-and-easy-solution-to-debt-crisis.html

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2012/jun/27/eurozone-crisis-live-merkel-address-german-parliament?newsfeed=true 12.45pm: Germany is going to ask the EU commission to introduce a financial transaction tax.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Union_financial_transaction_tax The tax would be levied on all transactions on financial instruments between financial institutions when at least one party to the transaction is located in the EU. It would cover 85% of the transactions between financial institutions (banks, investment firms, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds and others), but not affect citizens and businesses. House mortgages, bank loans to small and medium enterprises, contributions to insurance contracts, as well as spot currency exchange transactions and the raising of capital by enterprises or public bodies through the issuance of bonds and shares on the primary market would not be taxed, with the exception of trading bonds on secondary markets.[10]
Following the "R plus I" (residence plus issuance) solution an institution would pay the tax rate appropriate to the country of its residence, regardless of the location of the actual trade.[11] In other words, the tax would cover all transactions that involve European firms, no matter whether these transactions take place within the EU or elsewhere in the world. If acting on behalf of a client, e.g., when acting as a broker, it would be able to pass on the tax to the client. Hence, it would be impossible for say French or German banks to avoid the tax by moving their transactions offshore.[12]

Tuesday, June 26, 2012

France's Historic Geographic Challenge

EES: Currency ETFs: An alternative to trade Spot FX

http://seekingalpha.com/article/683181-currency-etfs-and-etns-a-stock-investor-s-alternative-to-trade-the-euro-crisis While the European crisis is filling the news, many stock investors do not have access to Forex markets. Many brokers such as TD Ameritrade (AMTD) now offer Forex, but some still do not have access to trade spot Forex directly without opening an additional brokerage account. Even so, a direct Euro short may not be the only way to profit from the Eurozone crisis.

Monday, June 25, 2012

Germans resist Eurozone debt fund

Billionaire investor George Soros called on Europe to start a fund to buy Italian and Spanish bonds, warning that a failure by leaders meeting this week to produce drastic measures could spell the demise of the currency.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-24/soros-pushes-eu-to-start-joint-debt-fund-or-risk-summit-fiasco.html

Chancellor Angela Merkel hardened her resistance to euro-area debt sharing to resolve the region’s financial crisis, setting Germany on a collision course with its allies at a summit of European leaders this week.


http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-25/merkel-rejects-joint-euro-bonds-bills-with-all-eyes-on-germany.html

(Reuters) - The German government and opposition reached a deal on Thursday on growth that will allow parliament to approve the euro zone's permanent bailout scheme next week, but Germany's top court may delay the rescue fund's start date.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/06/21/us-eurozone-germany-esm-idUSBRE85K0LU20120621

Wednesday, June 20, 2012

Operation Twist Extended by Fed


The Federal Reserve will expand its program to replace short-term bonds with longer-term debt by $267 billion through the end of the year in a bid to reduce unemployment and protect the expansion.
The continuation of Operation Twist “should put downward pressure on longer-term interest rates and help to make broader financial conditions more accommodative,” the Federal Open Market Committee said today in a statement at the conclusion of a two-day meeting in Washington.


http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-20/fed-expands-operation-twist-by-267-billion-through-year-end.html

What is "Operation Twist" :


Operation Twist (2011)

The Federal Open Market Committee concluded its September 21, 2011 Meeting at about 2:15PM EDT by announcing the implementation of Operation Twist. This is a plan to purchase $400 billion of bonds with maturities of 6 to 30 years and to sell bonds with maturities less than 3 years, thereby extending the average maturity of the Fed's own portfolio.[4] This is an attempt to do what Quantitative Easing (QE) tries to do, without printing more money and without expanding the Fed's balance sheet, therefore hopefully avoiding the inflationary pressure associated with QE.[5] This announcement brought a bout of risk aversion in the equity markets and strengthened the US Dollar, whereas QE I had weakened the USD and supported the equity markets.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_Federal_Open_Market_Committee_actions

Monday, June 18, 2012

EES: Is it time to sell the Euro?

While markets have relief that the mainstream, pro-bailout party has won the Greek elections, the European crisis is far from over.

http://seekingalpha.com/article/666471-is-it-time-to-sell-the-euro

Oanda closes for Greek election

The street corners are stocked with waiting riot police. One of the few global currency trading platforms which operates at the weekend, Oanda, is closing today for the first time in its history.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/greece/9336240/Greek-election-despatch-no-panic-no-fear-no-hope.html

Pro-bailout party wins Greek election


WASHINGTON (AP) -- A slim victory for the main conservative party in an election in Greece should relax fears that a country will stop using the euro for the first time and possibly unleash global financial turmoil.
But when it comes to Greek politics - and European economic policy - it's never that easy. So the bumpy ride for financial markets isn't over yet.


http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_GREECE_MARKETS?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2012-06-17-21-46-56


Although the Greek poll result eased imminent fears of a Greek exit from the euro, concerns over Spain's sovereign debt problems prompted a rise in the country's 10-year bond yields, which spiked over 7pc. Italy's 10-year yield breached 6pc.
Political parties, led by New Democracy leader, Antonis Samaras, began forging a government on Monday. David Cameron, who is in Mexico for the G20 summit, said the outcome of the Greek election looked clear, but warned a delay in forming a government "could be very dangerous".
"The outcome of the Greek election looks clear in terms of a commitment to stay in the eurozone and to accept the terms of the memorandum," the prime minister said. "But I think those parties that want that to happen can't afford to delay and position themselves. If you are a Greek political party and want to stay in the eurozone and accept the consequences that follow you have got to get on with it and help form a government. A delay could be very dangerous."

Friday, June 15, 2012

Bank of England Osborne unveils 140 Billion Pound plan


“We are not powerless in the face of the euro-zone debt storm,” Mr Osborne said. “We can deploy new firepower to defend our economy from the crisis on our doorstep. Funding for lending to the family aspiring to own their home and the business that wants to expand…The Government - with the help of the Bank of England – will not stand on the sidelines and do nothing as the storm gathers.”


http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financialcrisis/9332570/Osborne-unveils-140bn-scheme-to-kick-start-stagnant-economy.html

Central Banks pledge liquidity after Greek vote

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/06/15/eurozone-idUSL5E8HE4H320120615

WASHINGTON/BRUSSELS, June 15 (Reuters) - Central banks from major economies stand ready to take steps, including coordinated action, to stabilise markets as world economies prepare for a possible financial storm or public panic after cliffhanger elections in Greece this weekend.


http://www.cnbc.com/id/47828696 Stocks opened higher Friday, lifted by reports that major central banks are preparing coordinated action to provide liquidity after the Greek elections over the weekend.

EES: The Fallacy of State Backed Deposits

There is a perception in Europe during the current crisis that Germany should somehow guarantee all deposits, similar to what is done in the U.S. with the FDIC.


http://seekingalpha.com/article/657971-the-fallacy-of-state-backed-deposits

Thursday, June 14, 2012

EES: Strangle The Euro

The European crisis is a major market driving factor for the last several months. Instead of guessing the outcome, why not bet on something that is almost a certainty: volatility.

Read full article on Seeking Alpha: 
http://seekingalpha.com/article/657361-strangle-the-euro

Tuesday, June 12, 2012

Euro Break Up Plan - Capital, People controls


BRUSSELS (AP) — The European Commission has been providing legal advice to others who are considering possible scenarios should Greece leave the euro, a European Union spokesman said.
Olivier Bailly said Tuesday that, legally, limits could be imposed on movement of people and money across national borders within the EU if it's necessary to protect public order or public security — but not on economic grounds.
"Some people are working on scenarios," he said, but refused to confirm or identify which organizations and people were working on them.


A single regulator to oversee banks across all 27 European Union states could be in place as early as 2013 according to the European Commission...    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-18409175


Spain's borrowing costs have risen to the highest rate since the launch of the euro in 1999.

The benchmark 10-year bond yield hit 6.81%, as optimism about the weekend's Spanish bank bailout continued to evaporate...   http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-18405729


European finance officials have discussed limiting the size of withdrawals from ATM machines, imposing border checks and introducing euro zone capital controls as a worst-case scenario should Athens decide to leave the euro.
EU officials said the ideas are part of a range of contingency plans. They emphasised that the discussions were merely about being prepared for any eventuality rather than planning for something they expect to happen.
But with increased political uncertainty in Greece following the inconclusive election on May 6th and ahead of a second election on June 17th, there is now an increased need to have contingencies in place, the EU sources said.

http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/breaking/2012/0612/breaking24.html

Monday, June 11, 2012

Italian Bank BNI blocks withdrawals, payments


Thursday, June 7, 2012


BNI depositors unable to make withdrawals / payments, payments of utility bills, mortgage payments, taxes
Peter Giordano, Adiconsum: "Grave of the Bank of Italy's attitude that takes action without considering the impact on depositors, and especially on single-income families and pensioners"
Adiconsum Bank of Italy asks for an urgent meeting and the lifting of the
The Bank of Italy authorized the suspension of payments by Bank Network Investments SpA (BNI) without communicating anything to the depositors.
Very serious and unacceptable - says Peter Jordan, Secretary General Adiconsum - the attitude of the Bank of Italy SpA in each BNI, because highly prejudicial to the interests of customers.
Bank of Italy, in fact, after extending the receivership of the bank, thus giving the impression of an imminent rescue, then gave the green light for compulsory winding up, without giving any prior notice to the depositors, leaving them in no condition to perform any type of operation, even basic ones for daily survival, such as withdrawals / payments, utilities payments, rates, taxes.
We must unfortunately note that offensive measures as those adopted to customers BNI - Giordano complaint - not an isolated case. Decisions without taking into account the heavy impact, particularly on savers in possession of a single bank account on which accrediting salary or pension, are not new to Bank of Italy, and also affected depositors of Banca MB.
The attitude of the Bank of Italy - Jordan continues - is bureaucratic and deed and as Adiconsum we asked in a letter sent to the Bank of Italy and the lifting of the BNI and an urgent meeting to define the way in which customers, especially Fixed-income families and pensioners, can perform normal daily operations.



(Reuters) - Euro zone finance ministers agreed on Saturday to lend Spain up to 100 billion euros ($125 billion) to shore up its teetering banks and Madrid said it would specify precisely how much it needs once independent audits report in just over a week.